How the NWS Predicts Tornadoes and Severe Weather (and What to Watch)

How the NWS Predicts Tornadoes and Severe Weather (and What to Watch)

How the NWS Predicts Tornadoes and Severe Weather (and What to Watch)

A plain‑language guide to watches, warnings, and radar basics for homeowners.

Watches vs. Warnings

Know the difference so you can stage protection in time.

  • Watch: Conditions are favorable. Stage covers, clear debris, confirm alerts.
  • Warning: Hazard is occurring or imminent. Take shelter and secure openings now.

Tip: Enable Wireless Emergency Alerts and local NWS office notifications.

Radar Basics

Focus on products you can read at a glance.

  • Reflectivity: Shows precipitation intensity. Heavier returns may mean hail or damaging rain.
  • Velocity: Shows wind toward/away from radar. Tight couplets can indicate rotation.
  • Composite/Storm tracks: Highlights storm cores and projected paths.

Note: Radar can overshoot low‑level features far from the site; confirm with warnings.

When Alerts Change

  1. Upgrade from Watch → Warning: Move vehicles to shelter if safe. Close/lock windows and doors.
  2. Severe thunderstorm warning: Protect glass with temporary panels or interior safety measures.
  3. Tornado warning: Shelter immediately in an interior room or basement. Avoid windows.

Turn Alerts Into Action

  • Stage temporary covers and fasteners for largest windows and doors.
  • Secure outdoor items. Clear drains and downspouts.
  • Prepare towels, buckets, and plastic sheeting for quick water control.
  • Document any damage with time‑stamped photos.
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